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Seller: Listing & Staging · Apr 27, 2026 · 5 min read

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AZ Real Estate Partners

Selling · Market Inflection
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Inventory Is Up But Buyers‘Can’t Find a House’

GTA right now: active listings are up 30%+ year-over-year, but sales volume hasn’t kept pace. Buyers say there’s nothing to pick from, sellers say nobody’s showing up. The inflection is telling you something specific.

Market AnalysisTimingInventory CycleListing Strategy

It’s not simply ‘more inventory = lower prices’

I get asked every week: ‘I heard listings are way up — buyer’s market, right? Can I lowball 10%?’ Same week, sellers ask: ‘My listing’s been on for 45 days, no offers — is the buyer pool gone?’ Both reads are wrong. The market sits at a specific inflection: lots of listings on paper, but very few that actually match buyer demand; buyers are present but refuse to compromise. Here’s what each side should do.

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5 specific scenarios

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Phenomenon 1: listing count is up, but ‘good homes’ aren’t

TRREB data: inventory is climbing, but condo apartments are doing the heavy lifting. Detached and townhomes haven’t expanded much. Buyers want ‘good school + detached + three-car garage’; what’s flooding the market is ‘downtown 1-bedroom condo’. For sellers: if you’re a detached, your competition is actually thinner than the headline suggests. If you’re a condo, reprice now.

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Phenomenon 2: too many options = slower decisions

Paradox of choice. When inventory grows from 30 to 100 units, buyers don’t decide faster — they decide slower, always thinking ‘maybe next week brings something better’. That’s why average days-on-market went from 18 to 32, but prices haven’t crashed — everyone’s waiting, nobody’s panic-selling.

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Phenomenon 3: ‘good homes’ still attract multiple offers

Even in an oversupplied overall market, well-renovated, properly priced, well-marketed homes still pull multiple offers within 7-14 days. The gap isn’t a market problem — it’s a property-specific problem. Bad listings sit 80 days, good ones sell in 7, the average reads ’45 days’ — and the average hides the truth.

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Seller playbook: price + marketing precision

(1) Price 2-3% below comp but market it as a deal — search engines surface it, buyers feel value. (2) Real video walkthrough — TikTok / Reels / RED actually generate showings now. (3) Convert open houses to by-appointment private showings — fewer feet, higher intent. Don’t blindly cut 5-10%; you’ll just attract lowballs.

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Buyer playbook: more inventory ≠ free lowballs

Most common buyer mistake — anchor on one outlier sold-low and try to repeat it on a different home. It won’t work. Real strategy: (1) Pick 2-3 homes you actually want; (2) Get pre-approval ready; (3) On well-priced renovated homes, don’t go more than 3% under list — you’re not the only one watching, and the seller can wait. End of seller’s market ≠ open season for lowballs.

⚠ The actual inflection signal

Watch sales-to-new-listings ratio. Under 40% = buyer’s market. 40-60% = balanced. Above 60% = seller’s market. GTA right now is hovering around 40% — neither a buyer’s nor a seller’s market. It’s the ‘careful side wins’ market. Whether buying or selling, one wrong move costs more than usual.

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FAQ · Common Questions

How much can I lowball today?

Strong listings (under 30 days, renovated, priced fair): 0-3%. Mid-tier (45-60 days, needs work): 3-7%. Weak listings (80+ days, issues, overpriced): 8-12%. A blanket ‘10% off list’ rule is wrong.

When is the best month to sell?

GTA historical: March-May and September-October peak. January and December bottom. But in this 2026 cycle property-specific factors (your home vs. comparable competition) outweigh seasonality.

Can I delist and relist?

You can, but MLS tracks relists and ranking drops. If you just want fresh time-on-market, a 3-5% price change is better — same outcome, less penalty.

How many days on market = warning?

GTA average for comparable: ~30 days. Past 45 = pricing or condition is wrong. Past 60 = price drop or delist required.

Buyers keep saying ‘we’ll wait’ — what now?

Sellers can’t out-wait buyers. Your competition is the next listing in your area. Each month adds new inventory; your home only gets staler. No offer at day 14 = repricing. No offer at day 28 = act.

Not sure which tier your listing is in?

Send the address and current listing details — I’ll tell you whether it’s a strong, mid, or weak listing and what to fix.

Arthur Zhao · Broker · 📞 416-888-6161 · arthurzhao.realtor


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作者简介About the author
Arthur Zhao
Real Estate Broker · FRI · ABR · SRS · PSA · MCNE · E-PRO · CLHMS & GUILD Elite · REAIS
VP & Branch Manager, Bay Street Group Inc.

为大多伦多地区客户服务的双语经纪。专注于为首购、投资者和跨境家庭提供有结构的策略。先看透,再落笔。Bilingual broker serving the Greater Toronto Area. Specialty: structured strategy for first-time buyers, investors, and cross-border families. Knowledge before commitment.

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